Ailing Senators start up road trip in Edmonton

Hockey Betting Lines

03/09/2010 - (Sportsbook Betting Lines) - As the Ottawa Senators head to Western Canada, they hope they left a crippling flu bug behind them. The team will try to snap a three- game overall slide and pick up a sixth straight win over the Edmonton Oilers, who look to win three straight this evening at Rexall Place.

The Senators, on their longest losing streak since a five-game skid from January 5-12, will aim to get healthy for the start of this trek. They were without both captain Daniel Alfredsson and Peter Regin on Saturday versus Toronto, while several other players were below 100 percent. However, the Senators escaped with a point in the 2-1 shootout loss.

Chris Neil scored while Pascal Leclaire stopped 30 shots for the Senators, who have managed to score just a single goal in each of their last three losses.

"A lot of guys are feeling real bad in there," said Ottawa defenseman Andy Sutton. "Pascal was real solid for us out there [Saturday] and gave us a chance to win."

Ottawa, which trails Buffalo by two points for first place in the Northeast Division, will hope to have Alfredsson and Regin back tonight, but defenseman Filip Kuba is unlikely to play this week due to a lower-body injury that has held him out of the last two games.

The Sens ran their series win streak over the Oilers to five games with a 4-3 shootout victory at home on November 10. Jason Spezza had the game-winner in the deciding phase and Leclaire made 31 saves for Ottawa, which is 7-1 with a tie in its last nine versus Edmonton and hasn't lost in this series since March 14, 2004. The Senators' current five-game win streak over the Oilers includes a pair of victories in Edmonton.

Jeff Deslauriers halted 22 shots in that November loss for the Oilers, but he is coming off a 22-save shutout of New Jersey on Sunday, his third blanking of the season.

Gilbert Brule and Marc Pouliot each had a goal for the Oilers, who have won two straight on the heels of a three-game losing streak but are still just 6-25-2 over their last 33 games. Still, Edmonton can win three straight for the first time since December 3-11.

"We're playing with a lot of grit and determination these last couple of games," said Brule, who has two goals and three assists over his last five contests.

Edmonton concludes a three-game homestand tonight and has won four of its last five as the host.

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Sportsbooks to bet on football

Recently I had an email debate with an angry reader who said I did not understand "the science of oddsmaking", as he called it.

He said I was wrong for suggesting oddsmakers care about who wins or loses games.

"Oddsmakers only care about splitting the betting public 50/50 on both sides of the line and keeping the commission (a.k.a. juice)," he wrote.

He might have been right about not understanding "the science of oddsmaking". After all, I'm not an oddsmaker. That said, I stick to my assertion that oddsmakers (a.k.a. sportbooks) often do care about who wins games.

Granted, as a general rule, sportsbooks try to balance their action so that they're not exposed to big losses. However, there are times when this is difficult to pull off, regardless of how much a line has moved. There are also times when that general rule is ignored and a book pursues risk.

Generally speaking, it's safe to say the books in Vegas are risk-adverse. Unlike in the past when the wise guys ruled the town, Vegas is now corporate and the goal of most casinos is to make as much money as possible with as little risk as possible.

Thus, Vegas sportsbooks try everything in their power to balance the action. They're satisfied simply collecting the juice. But these profits are small, especially compared to the take from other casino games, namely slot machines.

Because the profits at Vegas sportsbooks are so small, you could argue that many casinos operate sportsbooks simply as a novelty to keep the tourists happy.

With a growing aversion to risk, it should come as no surprise that Vegas bookmakers have been panicking this NFL season.

Despite huge pointspreads, a disproportionate percentage of bettors are still laying their money on favorites like the Eagles, Colts, Pats and Vikings rather than the dogs (a common trend for the largely recreational bettors that visit Vegas).

And much to the dismay of the books, those favorites are finding ways to cover the thick chalk. In fact, prior to Week 7, the four teams listed above are a combined 16-2-2 (88 percent) against the spread. (The tables turned dramatically in Week 7, but more on that later.)

The result has been an early-season beating for the books, and a bonanza for bettors.

While Vegas increasingly hates risk, it's no longer a major player in the sports betting world. Most of the betting action now takes place offshore where sportsbooks are not as obsessed about balance. In fact, some books encourage exposure to risk because the rewards can be so much bigger.

Consider MySportsbook.com. On its website, the book has odds pages which actually display the amount of action it's getting on games. In other words, you can see how much action the book is taking on both sides of a pointspread, moneyline or over/under.

One look at these numbers and it's obvious MySportsbook.com does not balance every game. In fact, far from it.

Take last weekend's matchup between St. Louis and Miami. By game time on Sunday, 83 percent of the betting action at MySportsbook.com was on the Rams; only 17 percent was on Miami.

What's interesting is that MySportsbook.com opened the pointspread with Miami at +6 1/2. By game time, the spread had lowered to +5.

That goes contrary to the balancing theory. If MySportsbook.com had wanted to balance the action, it would have given Miami more points; instead, it took away 1 1/2. World Series odds are now up as well.

MySportsbook.com exposed itself to even more to risk, and rolled the dice on the underdog Dolphins. Why? I contacted a representative with the book to find out. His answer was simple.

"The line moved early based on 'smart money' from sharp players," said Jeff Gilroy, a spokesperson for the book. "We also knew from early in the week that we would need Miami, therefore (we dropped) the spread to encourage Rams money.

"At the end of the day, we liked the home team."

So the conclusion is this: MySportsbook.com respected the sharp action, and gambled that the sharp bettors had a better take on the game than the recreational bettors, who were hammering the visiting Rams.

In the end, the gamble paid off. Miami, desperate for a win in front of its home fans, pounded the overrated Rams, who are terrible on the road and even worse on grass. Final score: 31-14 Fish.

MySportsbook.com was also heavily exposed on numerous favorites in Week 7, including Philadelphia, Seattle and Denver. All three failed to cover.

The fact that sportsbooks are exposed to risk on certain games is really nothing new. The fact, that Sportsbook.com is willing to show the public where it's exposed is intriguing.

Armed with this type of information, bettors can make more educated wagers. They can get an idea where the sharp money is going and conversely where the public money is headed.

MySportsbook.com is opening up its cashbox, letting bettors look inside and challenging them to take their best shot at grabbing the cash.

To visit this online football betting got to MySportsbook.com for all your football betting odds needs. Mysportsbook.com online sportsbook accepts Visa and Mastercard credit cards.

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NFL Office Pool Sheets

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